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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +169.34₽

Invest 389.26₽

Average return 558.60₽

ROI +43.5%

Chance of profit 87%

With float: invest at least 970.74 ₽, profit at most −412.14 ₽

float premium: at least 583 ₽

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

290.72 ₽

at 36.34

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0009

98.54 ₽

at 49.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 389.26 ₽ +169.34 (+43.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

72.68 ₽

at 36.34

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

101.92 ₽

at 25.48

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

197.08 ₽

at 49.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 371.68 ₽ +26.45 (+7.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

36.34 ₽

at 36.34

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

127.40 ₽

at 25.48

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0030

197.08 ₽

at 49.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 360.82 ₽ +10.56 (+2.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

290.72 ₽

at 36.34

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0011

65.98 ₽

at 65.98

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0011

49.27 ₽

at 49.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 405.97 ₽ +179.38 (+44.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 13%
About break-even 7%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

726.71 ₽ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

681.10 ₽ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079333

358.58 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076533

366.65 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

463.76 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +104.84 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +140.29 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3014177 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 174.62₽ · invest 360.79₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.081316
Craft 3020943 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 172.01₽ · invest 382.72₽
rare inputs

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.081316
Craft 3027510 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 171.12₽ · invest 402.19₽
AUG | Eye of Zapems: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080902 instead of 0.081316; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.002417 instead of 0.000999
Craft 3023448 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 148.86₽ · invest 346.84₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074497 instead of 0.081316
Craft 3013042 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 148.30₽ · invest 292.69₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 8; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074046 instead of 0.081316
Craft 3003528 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 147.36₽ · invest 346.15₽
P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear), AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 8; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074204 instead of 0.081316

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build