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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 453.71₸

Invest at least 11 444.54₸

Average return 8 990.83₸

ROI −21.4%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 11 444.54 ₸, profit at most −2 453.71 ₸

float premium: at least 6 411 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 599.53 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1 441.67 ₸

at 360.42

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

686.97 ₸

at 343.48

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2 755.52 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 884.15 ₸ +4 106.67 (+84.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

198.51 ₸

at 198.51

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

2 522.92 ₸

at 360.42

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

686.97 ₸

at 343.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 408.40 ₸ +1 817.60 (+53.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

2 162.51 ₸

at 360.42

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

686.97 ₸

at 343.48

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 377.76 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 227.23 ₸ +2 881.16 (+68.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

360.42 ₸

at 360.42

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

343.48 ₸

at 343.48

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

5 511.03 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 214.94 ₸ +5 599.53 (+90.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1 802.09 ₸

at 360.42

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

686.97 ₸

at 343.48

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

2 066.64 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 555.69 ₸ +3 493.94 (+76.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 969.67 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 720.53 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

4 216.31 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

39 808.17 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

12 253.98 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 397.61 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 351.45 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 302.10 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3006296 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 824.88₸ · invest 5 767.99₸
rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166928 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075888 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3008356 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 651.86₸ · invest 5 656.50₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested), CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162035 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074186 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3028391 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 329.62₸ · invest 5 100.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3021485 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 222.88₸ · invest 5 064.31₸
rare inputs

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162223 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074251 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3015582 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 122.79₸ · invest 5 098.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3007764 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 096.58₸ · invest 5 030.55₸
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162499 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074347 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3028392 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 906.94₸ · invest 4 910.87₸
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3035975 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 860.93₸ · invest 4 336.65₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074418
Craft 3010600 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 718.49₸ · invest 4 534.99₸
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162703; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074418

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build