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The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +38.60$

Invest 73.42$

Average return 112.01$

ROI +52.6%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 176.60 $, profit at most −64.59 $

float premium: at least 105 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +82.63 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

10.18 $

at 5.09

Steam

×6

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

47.83 $

at 7.97

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1796

15.41 $

at 7.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.42 $ +38.60 (+52.6%)

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

39.86 $

at 7.97

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1796

15.41 $

at 7.71

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

40.84 $

at 13.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.10 $ +63.64 (+66.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

AK-47 | Inheritance

Factory New

float up to 0.055814

115.02 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69.43 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

269.75 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

280.61 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.83 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3016461 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 43.48$ · invest 78.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear), AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163375 instead of 0.179671

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build