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The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +990.45₽

Invest 1 146.51₽

Average return 2 136.96₽

ROI +86.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 2 910.28 ₽, profit at most −773.32 ₽

float premium: at least 1 759 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

74.75 ₽

at 74.75

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

62.88 ₽

at 62.88

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 008.88 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 146.51 ₽ +990.45 (+86.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

322.00 ₽

at 80.50

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

451.56 ₽

at 225.78

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

504.44 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 278.00 ₽ +96.79 (+7.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

74.75 ₽

at 74.75

Steam

×1

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

80.50 ₽

at 80.50

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

102.78 ₽

at 102.78

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

882.77 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 140.80 ₽ +843.72 (+74.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

74.75 ₽

at 74.75

Steam

×2

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

161.00 ₽

at 80.50

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

882.77 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 118.52 ₽ +713.57 (+63.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

241.50 ₽

at 80.50

Steam

×1

AUG | Plague

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

159.63 ₽

at 159.63

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

756.66 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 157.79 ₽ +521.87 (+45.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 53%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

771.86 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 287.50 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 243.28 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

228.55 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

534.27 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.035874

920.23 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Spider Lily

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 268.47 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

451.33 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

1 224.80 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +546.62 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +787.68 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3030808 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 008.87₽ · invest 1 145.67₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3020610 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 004.48₽ · invest 1 112.12₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3036179 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 001.73₽ · invest 1 136.96₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3028898 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 994.89₽ · invest 1 188.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3005652 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 983.03₽ · invest 1 166.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3036195 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 981.00₽ · invest 1 201.28₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3035318 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 974.67₽ · invest 1 129.85₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166424 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075712 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3001733 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 973.12₽ · invest 1 236.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171852 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077600 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3036228 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 963.10₽ · invest 1 240.59₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165604 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075427 instead of 0.075131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build