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The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.48$

Invest at least 17.12$

Average return 14.63$

ROI −14.5%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 17.12 $, profit at most −2.48 $

float premium: at least 9 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.44 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2.12 $

at 0.42

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

2.28 $

at 0.76

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3.05 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.44 $ +7.19 (+96.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

1.76 $

at 0.35

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

1.70 $

at 0.42

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1742

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.22 $ +0.01 (+0.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

0.42 $

at 0.42

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

10.66 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.60 $ +12.44 (+98.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.35 $

at 0.35

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

0.85 $

at 0.42

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

7.62 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.33 $ +9.51 (+92.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

9.32 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88.01 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

27.09 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.76 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Acid Etched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.31 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.21 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.10 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Darkwing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.55 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

4.14 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.16 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.83 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma 2 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3014818 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.24$ · invest 9.54$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165479 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075384 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3033549 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.23$ · invest 9.01$
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3031868 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.02$ · invest 8.30$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3031869 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.61$ · invest 8.30$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3034593 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.60$ · invest 7.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.075201
Craft 2998776 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.57$ · invest 8.51$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179857 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087555 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3025518 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.57$ · invest 7.79$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3015583 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.49$ · invest 10.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164908 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3020611 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.32$ · invest 9.99$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested), PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162857 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3032376 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.24$ · invest 8.84$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074027 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3031867 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.19$ · invest 7.37$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3033192 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.18$ · invest 9.62$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161608 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074037 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3018065 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.10$ · invest 7.66$
outcome at usual price rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161988 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074169 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3003876 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.01$ · invest 7.87$
rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162801 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074452 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3007763 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.93$ · invest 9.02$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165050 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075235 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3003877 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.64$ · invest 8.46$
rare inputs

P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162084 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074203 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3035110 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.57$ · invest 8.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3032378 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.48$ · invest 9.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163624 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.075201
Craft 3025519 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.47$ · invest 7.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.164953; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.075201

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build