to all crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +29.00$

Invest 21.15$

Average return 50.15$

ROI +137.1%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 54.11 $, profit at most −3.96 $

float premium: at least 33 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

1.73 $

at 0.87

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

19.41 $

at 2.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.15 $ +29.00 (+137.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

10.48 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.84 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181.53 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.009574

24.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

7.18 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.006595

5.49 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.009574

7.21 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3028375 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.92$ · invest 21.25$
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3033521 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.68$ · invest 20.89$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3027743 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.67$ · invest 21.01$
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007739 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3003856 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.65$ · invest 20.82$
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007713 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3010585 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.24$ · invest 20.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3022366 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.04$ · invest 20.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008366 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3034932 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.99$ · invest 19.04$
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006303 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3034577 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.58$ · invest 18.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006918 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3035956 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.55$ · invest 19.04$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007786 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3014799 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.35$ · invest 18.61$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007024 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3032360 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.29$ · invest 19.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004463 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3011661 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.22$ · invest 18.51$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007483 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3031842 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.15$ · invest 18.77$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006918 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3032755 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.08$ · invest 18.26$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007399 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3025502 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.05$ · invest 18.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006918 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3035670 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 24.73$ · invest 18.14$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006918 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3035808 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 24.67$ · invest 18.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006918 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3034242 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 24.62$ · invest 18.06$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3033881 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 24.62$ · invest 18.13$
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007786 instead of 0.007229
Craft 3018045 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 24.59$ · invest 18.31$
outcome at usual price rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003493 instead of 0.007229

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build