The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 403.64$

Invest at least 2 238.80$

Average return 835.16$

ROI −62.7%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 2 238.80 $, profit at most −1 403.64 $

float premium: at least 1 171 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +374.80 $ по средним

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −639.50 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

351.96 $

at 175.98

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

646.45 $

at 215.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 998.40 $ −163.24 (−16.4%)

What you get 74 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 57%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 326.63 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 039.36 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 715.10 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.82%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 521.75 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

972.23 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 200.20 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 744.85 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 788.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 478.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 499.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

815.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 450.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 421.17 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 200.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 609.32 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 736.81 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

864.98 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

734.99 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 350.22 $ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 222.00 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 703.56 $ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

114.69 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

104.99 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

199.44 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

142.02 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

202.05 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186.16 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

684.07 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100.00 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85.00 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

498.37 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

527.48 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

673.48 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

322.70 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

839.03 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.00 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

486.12 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331.89 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

219.11 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338.35 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

365.93 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483.81 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

216.64 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

213.27 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

196.79 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

159.27 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

334.06 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.17 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

157.66 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

610.18 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

177.92 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88.86 $ 1.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

322.70 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

666.47 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 000.16 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

917.88 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 018.10 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

718.85 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 717.34 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

545.09 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

555.56 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

632.60 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 216.02 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 710.18 $ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

75.00 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

49.37 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

230.04 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

338.75 $ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 2 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 351.96 → 777.82 $

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) × 3 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 646.45 → 1 460.97 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 only The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −188.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −168.77 $ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 74 outcomes

More

How to build