The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −11 696.00₴

Invest at least 78 439.32₴

Average return 66 743.32₴

ROI −14.9%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 78 439.32 ₴, profit at most −11 696.00 ₴

float premium: at least 40 937 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +69 237.46 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −20 559.72 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

less than 1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

17 422.94 ₴

at 4 355.73

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

17 238.00 ₴

at 17 238.00

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 34 660.93 ₴ +32 082.38 (+92.6%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 1%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 739.14 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 020.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 128.60 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 933.77 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 891.09 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 860.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 809.12 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 471.59 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 620.81 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 820.51 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 759.75 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 400.66 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 555.02 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 089.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 100.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 904.19 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 028.55 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

263 910.63 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87 985.25 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 155.87 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 142.29 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 149.23 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 381.01 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 356.69 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 417.05 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 439.30 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 570.35 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 047.11 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 463.78 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 907.49 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 655.81 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 167.30 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 144.77 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 092.86 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 217.15 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 968.66 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 593.68 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 895.96 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 671.12 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 322 034.78 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

360 965.13 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 593.83 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

965 578.11 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 494.02 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 723.27 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 890.53 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 015.25 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Breakout Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Chroma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29 778.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31 689.98 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3037757 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 32 082.38₴ · invest 34 660.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build