The Operation Hydra Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −87 371.94₴

Invest at least 224 437.60₴

Average return 137 065.66₴

ROI −38.9%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 224 437.60 ₴, profit at most −87 371.94 ₴

float premium: at least 109 757 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −79 641.50 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

83 868.61 ₴

at 20 967.15

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

12 077.93 ₴

at 12 077.93

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 95 946.54 ₴ +41 119.12 (+42.9%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 73%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 417.05 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 439.30 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 570.35 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 047.11 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 463.78 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 907.49 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 655.81 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 167.30 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 144.77 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 092.86 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 217.15 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 968.66 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 593.68 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 895.96 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 671.12 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 322 034.78 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

360 965.13 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 593.83 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

965 578.11 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 494.02 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 723.27 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 890.53 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 015.25 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

66 327.34 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

36 750.19 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

76 515.58 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

51 888.74 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

47 836.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

32 454.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 154.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 670.73 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 716.44 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

11 500.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 699.43 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

4 073.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 189.70 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

2 785.72 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 824.21 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

5 099.91 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 529.43 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 254.14 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 784.86 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 299.48 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 784.55 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

6 829.65 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 633.62 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 934.02 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 060.80 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 228.12 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 348.31 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

11 472.35 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 679.14 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 651.09 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 4 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 83 868.61 → 198 349.27 ₴

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 12 077.93 → 26 088.33 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 3 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38 692.93 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +40 892.76 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3037933 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 41 119.12₴ · invest 95 946.54₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3037947 · The Shadow Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 38 847.86₴ · invest 96 529.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New)
Craft 3037948 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 38 847.86₴ · invest 96 529.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build