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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −138.58₴

Invest at least 539.35₴

Average return 400.77₴

ROI −25.7%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 539.35 ₴, profit at most −138.58 ₴

float premium: at least 306 ₴

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0024

114.15 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

39.58 ₴

at 13.19

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

79.62 ₴

at 26.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.35 ₴ +167.43 (+71.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Check Engine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

24.46 ₴

at 24.46

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

199.77 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

20.84 ₴

at 10.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 245.07 ₴ +121.50 (+49.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0034

171.23 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1611

10.42 ₴

at 10.42

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

39.58 ₴

at 13.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.23 ₴ +162.45 (+73.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

77.85 ₴

at 25.95

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0032

171.23 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1607

10.42 ₴

at 10.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.50 ₴ +98.52 (+38.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 13%
About break-even 20%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

467.99 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

264.32 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

768.36 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.057446

525.67 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.023936

529.35 ₴ 13.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

150.66 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +108.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +137.09 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3063310 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 203.79₴ · invest 221.39₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166048 instead of 0.171515
Craft 3064085 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 198.61₴ · invest 315.78₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.079400
Craft 3056012 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 194.49₴ · invest 311.00₴
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.157171 instead of 0.171515; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080334 instead of 0.079400
Craft 3076690 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 191.81₴ · invest 305.37₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.079400
Craft 3077325 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 190.56₴ · invest 308.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162933 instead of 0.171515; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074498 instead of 0.079400
Craft 3080729 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 186.10₴ · invest 233.11₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166048 instead of 0.171515
Craft 3082455 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 180.47₴ · invest 272.07₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166048 instead of 0.171515
Craft 3056643 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.23₴ · invest 384.45₴
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078933 instead of 0.079400
Craft 3074393 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.07₴ · invest 216.19₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164619 instead of 0.171515; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075085 instead of 0.079400
Craft 3081665 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 164.91₴ · invest 204.09₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167842 instead of 0.171515
Craft 3056013 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 162.10₴ · invest 262.50₴
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162327 instead of 0.171515; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.079400

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build