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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −123.50₽

Invest at least 572.05₽

Average return 448.55₽

ROI −21.6%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 572.05 ₽, profit at most −123.50 ₽

float premium: at least 324 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +219.36 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

75.00 ₽

at 25.00

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

110.90 ₽

at 55.45

souvenirSteam

×5

FAMAS | Vendetta

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0011

63.75 ₽

at 12.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 249.65 ₽ +198.90 (+79.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.060344

344.92 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.066379

622.75 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.059137

357.12 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.066379

2 641.72 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096551

31.05 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71.00 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Grip Tape

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090517

29.87 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Aeolian Light

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078448

28.20 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Bank Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Achroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +117.05 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +162.16 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3049075 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 168.24₽ · invest 197.85₽
sells slowly

Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176679 instead of 0.171616; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082161 instead of 0.079664

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build