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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +1.53$

Invest 1.61$

Average return 3.15$

ROI +95.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 3.76 $, profit at most −0.61 $

float premium: at least 2 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.40 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1593

0.29 $

at 0.29

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1593

0.30 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

0.19 $

at 0.06

Steam

×5

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0028

0.83 $

at 0.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.61 $ +1.53 (+95.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1610

0.29 $

at 0.29

souvenirSteam

×5

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

0.32 $

at 0.06

Steam

×4

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

0.66 $

at 0.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.27 $ +0.97 (+75.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

0.91 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

0.06 $

at 0.06

Steam

×6

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0011

0.99 $

at 0.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.96 $ +2.09 (+106.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

2.68 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.61 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.065999

1.01 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.83 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

4.17 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

7.52 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4.31 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

31.90 $ 5.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested) × 1 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.29 → 0.63 $

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) × 1 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.30 → 0.65 $

XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 0.19 → 0.44 $

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) × 5 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 0.83 → 2.05 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.064999, 0.069999, 0.065999, 0.069999, 0.049999, 0.054999, 0.048999, 0.054999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Bank Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3047947 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 1.48$
PP-Bizon | Traitor (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161649 instead of 0.159351; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161649 instead of 0.159351
Craft 3049042 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.51$
FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested), MP7 | Base-2 (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161649 instead of 0.159351; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161649 instead of 0.159351
Craft 3047997 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 1.24$ · invest 1.39$
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.160866 instead of 0.159351; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.160866 instead of 0.159351

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build