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The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +32 601.25₸

Invest 52 255.92₸

Average return 84 857.17₸

ROI +62.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 131 647.06 ₸, profit at most −46 789.89 ₸

float premium: at least 74 387 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

39 945.24 ₸

at 4 438.36

Steam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

12 310.68 ₸

at 12 310.68

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 52 255.92 ₸ +32 601.25 (+62.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −109 348 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

4 438.36 ₸

at 4 438.36

Steam

×9

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

110 796.15 ₸

at 12 310.68

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 115 234.51 ₸ +14 069.34 (+12.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −95 590 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

8 876.72 ₸

at 4 438.36

Steam

×8

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

98 485.47 ₸

at 12 310.68

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 107 362.19 ₸ +16 385.84 (+15.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 832 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

13 315.08 ₸

at 4 438.36

Steam

×7

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

86 174.78 ₸

at 12 310.68

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 99 489.86 ₸ +18 702.28 (+18.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 073 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

17 753.44 ₸

at 4 438.36

Steam

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

73 864.10 ₸

at 12 310.68

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 91 617.54 ₸ +21 018.77 (+22.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

35 543.20 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

34 977.07 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

203 069.25 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

193 605.09 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

116 572.17 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Bravo Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 075.85 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28 329.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3046118 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 31 188.70₸ · invest 44 654.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New)
Craft 3049229 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 30 503.41₸ · invest 43 769.01₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004382 instead of 0.005515
Craft 3049544 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 30 218.28₸ · invest 43 222.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New)
Craft 3049246 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 30 122.14₸ · invest 50 628.09₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004181 instead of 0.005515
Craft 3049225 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 30 069.77₸ · invest 46 103.04₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005515
Craft 3049370 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 29 930.00₸ · invest 46 801.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005556 instead of 0.005515
Craft 3049409 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 29 362.83₸ · invest 48 661.68₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005515
Craft 3049518 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 29 341.58₸ · invest 45 828.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Smart Gun (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005515

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build