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The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +64.91$

Invest 107.57$

Average return 172.48$

ROI +60.3%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 273.86 $, profit at most −101.38 $

float premium: at least 157 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

88.30 $

at 9.81

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

19.27 $

at 19.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.57 $ +64.91 (+60.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

78.57 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

77.32 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

448.90 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

float up to 0.031891

290.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.013243

139.97 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

77.44 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Bravo Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.67 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3049214 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 72.07$ · invest 115.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3046118 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 68.95$ · invest 98.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3049229 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 67.43$ · invest 96.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004382 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3049544 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 66.80$ · invest 95.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3049246 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 66.59$ · invest 111.92$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004181 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3049225 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 66.47$ · invest 101.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3049370 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 66.16$ · invest 103.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005556 instead of 0.005647
Craft 3049518 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 64.86$ · invest 101.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Smart Gun (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005647

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build