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The Arabesque Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +161.09₴

Invest 602.51₴

Average return 763.61₴

ROI +26.7%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 1 472.16 ₴, profit at most −708.56 ₴

float premium: at least 869 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

363.27 ₴

at 40.36

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

239.24 ₴

at 239.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 602.51 ₴ +161.09 (+26.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

282.55 ₴

at 40.36

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

86.27 ₴

at 86.27

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

179.17 ₴

at 179.17

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

239.24 ₴

at 239.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 787.22 ₴ +94.37 (+12.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −260 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

242.18 ₴

at 40.36

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

86.27 ₴

at 86.27

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

158.03 ₴

at 158.03

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

478.48 ₴

at 239.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 964.96 ₴ +34.61 (+3.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 32%

in profit

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

882.37 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614.30 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730.72 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

353.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

4 513.47 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

760.06 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

2 769.94 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +41.48 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +126.99 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Arms Deal 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3049223 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 149.02₴ · invest 512.73₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.074647

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build