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The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +14.30₴

Invest 139.32₴

Average return 153.62₴

ROI +10.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 347.80 ₴, profit at most −194.17 ₴

float premium: at least 204 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

19.80 ₴

at 19.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

10.53 ₴

at 10.53

Steam

×8

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

108.99 ₴

at 13.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.32 ₴ +14.30 (+10.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

39.61 ₴

at 19.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

10.53 ₴

at 10.53

Steam

×7

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

95.36 ₴

at 13.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.50 ₴ +7.03 (+4.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

196.53 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144705

149.49 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132352

187.73 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

167.85 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

160.66 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

167.62 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.79 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3080705 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 14.49₴ · invest 140.77₴
AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build