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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −17 288.36₸

Invest at least 62 766.37₸

Average return 45 478.07₸

ROI −27.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 62 766.37 ₸, profit at most −17 288.36 ₸

float premium: at least 38 487 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3 823.77 ₸

at 3 823.77

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

7 397.36 ₸

at 1 232.89

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

15 902.51 ₸

at 5 300.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 123.64 ₸ +18 354.43 (+67.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

7 647.54 ₸

at 3 823.77

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

6 164.46 ₸

at 1 232.89

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

15 902.51 ₸

at 5 300.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 714.52 ₸ +13 933.98 (+46.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

11 471.31 ₸

at 3 823.77

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

6 164.46 ₸

at 1 232.89

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

10 601.68 ₸

at 5 300.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 237.45 ₸ +13 581.54 (+48.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

15 295.08 ₸

at 3 823.77

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

6 164.46 ₸

at 1 232.89

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5 300.84 ₸

at 5 300.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 760.38 ₸ +13 229.10 (+49.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 682 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

22 942.62 ₸

at 3 823.77

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

963.26 ₸

at 963.26

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

3 698.68 ₸

at 1 232.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 604.56 ₸ +8 725.90 (+31.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 376.75 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 430.66 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

24 520.53 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

42 207.87 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10 006.42 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14 784.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3053831 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 313.46₸ · invest 30 093.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 3054534 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 920.76₸ · invest 29 457.67₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 3076261 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 781.00₸ · invest 30 155.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165233 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004636 instead of 0.003736
Craft 3084982 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 192.58₸ · invest 29 183.56₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Smart Gun (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build