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The Breakout Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +26.55$

Invest 98.51$

Average return 125.05$

ROI +26.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 246.49 $, profit at most −121.44 $

float premium: at least 142 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

26.78 $

at 26.78

Steam

×9

MAG-7 | Justice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

71.73 $

at 7.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.51 $ +26.55 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

23.57 $

at 23.57

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

26.78 $

at 26.78

Steam

×8

MAG-7 | Justice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

63.76 $

at 7.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.10 $ +22.20 (+19.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

47.13 $

at 23.57

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

26.78 $

at 26.78

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Justice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

55.79 $

at 7.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.70 $ +17.85 (+13.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

94.27 $

at 23.57

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

26.78 $

at 26.78

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Justice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

39.85 $

at 7.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 160.89 $ +9.16 (+5.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −131 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

117.83 $

at 23.57

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

26.78 $

at 26.78

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Justice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

31.88 $

at 7.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.49 $ +4.81 (+2.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112.25 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Player Two

Factory New

float up to 0.058799

149.50 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

224.46 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

296.04 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.39 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3081717 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 28.86$ · invest 99.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874
Craft 3081637 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 28.65$ · invest 88.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.075874
Craft 3080979 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 27.63$ · invest 84.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build