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The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +6.28$

Invest 13.75$

Average return 20.03$

ROI +45.6%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 32.70 $, profit at most −12.68 $

float premium: at least 18 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.97 $

at 1.97

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.55 $

at 1.11

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6.22 $

at 1.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.75 $ +6.28 (+45.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

7.90 $

at 1.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.03 $

at 2.03

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.33 $

at 1.11

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.11 $

at 1.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.38 $ +3.24 (+19.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.97 $

at 1.97

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10.17 $

at 2.03

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.33 $

at 1.11

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.56 $

at 1.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.03 $ +2.48 (+14.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

13.82 $

at 1.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

4.07 $

at 2.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.11 $

at 1.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.00 $ +0.20 (+1.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5.92 $

at 1.97

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4.44 $

at 1.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4.67 $

at 1.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.04 $ +4.79 (+31.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 33%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

float up to 0.066999

17.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

15.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

16.31 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

25.99 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

23.58 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.74 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3078575 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 6.16$ · invest 13.86$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074248 instead of 0.074556; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074248 instead of 0.074556
Craft 3078539 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 6.03$ · invest 13.26$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075438 instead of 0.074556; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075438 instead of 0.074556
Craft 3070600 · The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5.89$ · invest 13.48$
StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.074556; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.074556
Craft 3075257 · The Glove Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5.74$ · invest 15.34$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.074556; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.074556

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build