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The Chroma Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −78.66₴

Invest at least 330.27₴

Average return 251.60₴

ROI −23.8%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 330.27 ₴, profit at most −78.66 ₴

float premium: at least 188 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +114.47 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

58.12 ₴

at 58.12

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

28.02 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

56.34 ₴

at 9.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.47 ₴ +109.13 (+76.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −141 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

174.35 ₴

at 58.12

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

56.04 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.66 ₴ +105.63 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −260 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

74.54 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

232.47 ₴

at 58.12

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

37.36 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 344.37 ₴ +110.05 (+32.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −206 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

37.27 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

232.47 ₴

at 58.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

4.84 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

37.36 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 311.94 ₴ +101.91 (+32.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −379 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

111.80 ₴

at 37.27

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

290.59 ₴

at 58.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

18.68 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 421.07 ₴ +114.47 (+27.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

203.85 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

212.53 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

398.82 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

242.59 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

155.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331.67 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Urban Shock

Factory New

float up to 0.032899

405.94 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

633.14 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

465.93 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +102.45 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3071096 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 119.48₴ · invest 173.49₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074153 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074153 instead of 0.074210
Craft 3070970 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 109.74₴ · invest 139.89₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New)
Craft 3070704 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 108.00₴ · invest 141.43₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074210

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build