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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.73$

Invest 3.20$

Average return 6.93$

ROI +116.4%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 7.38 $, profit at most −0.45 $

float premium: at least 4 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.65 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.25 $

at 0.25

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1.86 $

at 0.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.47 $

at 0.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.62 $

at 0.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.20 $ +3.73 (+116.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.25 $

at 0.25

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3.26 $

at 0.47

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.62 $

at 0.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.13 $ +5.21 (+126.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.25 $

at 0.25

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.79 $

at 0.47

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.16 $

at 0.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.62 $

at 0.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.82 $ +4.72 (+123.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.88 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.01 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.13 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.20 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.74 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

1.81 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.34 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4.78 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

5.54 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.33 $ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.25 → 0.55 $

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 1.86 → 4.40 $

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 0.47 → 1.06 $

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.62 → 1.37 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.046899, 0.069999, 0.048999, 0.053199, 0.034999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3065553 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.13$ · invest 3.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164886 instead of 0.163325; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075178 instead of 0.074634

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build