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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −90.72₴

Invest at least 179.51₴

Average return 88.79₴

ROI −50.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 179.51 ₴, profit at most −90.72 ₴

float premium: at least 98 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

39.76 ₴

at 4.97

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

10.38 ₴

at 10.38

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

25.05 ₴

at 25.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.19 ₴ +13.60 (+18.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 24%
About break-even 36%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

108.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

136.29 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

89.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

89.35 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

80.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

248.58 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

107.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

49.35 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.26 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3058138 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 14.48₴ · invest 75.72₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164271 instead of 0.168399; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074964 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3067501 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 14.06₴ · invest 74.52₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162502 instead of 0.168399; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build