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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −9 513.21₸

Invest at least 22 832.06₸

Average return 13 318.85₸

ROI −41.7%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 22 832.06 ₸, profit at most −9 513.21 ₸

float premium: at least 13 461 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 796.67 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0825

6 802.38 ₸

at 850.30

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

1 917.57 ₸

at 1 917.57

Steam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1589

496.27 ₸

at 496.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 216.22 ₸ +4 102.63 (+44.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 33%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 400.51 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 924.98 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 919.60 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 762.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

11 675.56 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 856.78 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 120.44 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 644.11 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3067401 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3 855.16₸ · invest 9 840.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.082512; Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.002726

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build