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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −133.53₴

Invest at least 646.24₴

Average return 512.71₴

ROI −20.7%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 646.24 ₴, profit at most −133.53 ₴

float premium: at least 368 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

188.92 ₴

at 20.99

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

69.16 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 258.08 ₴ +254.63 (+98.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

41.98 ₴

at 20.99

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

204.84 ₴

at 40.97

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

207.47 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 454.30 ₴ +188.67 (+41.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

125.95 ₴

at 20.99

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

81.94 ₴

at 40.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

138.32 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 346.20 ₴ +222.33 (+64.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

20.99 ₴

at 20.99

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

245.81 ₴

at 40.97

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

207.47 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 474.28 ₴ +187.30 (+39.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

104.96 ₴

at 20.99

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

122.91 ₴

at 40.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

138.32 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 366.18 ₴ +220.97 (+60.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

671.52 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

361.27 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 089.12 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

415.17 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

304.02 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 399.70 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

686.55 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

454.10 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

588.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +159.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +245.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3067577 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 269.68₴ · invest 278.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076420 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3067344 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 265.72₴ · invest 251.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3067443 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 259.94₴ · invest 244.45₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3063508 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 259.32₴ · invest 247.04₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3067172 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 258.20₴ · invest 245.99₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3066938 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 254.73₴ · invest 243.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3066995 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 247.38₴ · invest 247.74₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3066823 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 244.45₴ · invest 257.65₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3067504 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 244.31₴ · invest 229.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build