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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −93.04$

Invest at least 151.96$

Average return 58.93$

ROI −61.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 151.96 $, profit at most −93.04 $

float premium: at least 92 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

54.08 $

at 6.01

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

4.51 $

at 4.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.59 $ +0.34 (+0.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

68.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

74.75 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

34.51 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

35.94 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3068577 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.33$ · invest 65.53$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build