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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −90.19₸

Invest 26 777.04₸

Average return 26 686.86₸

ROI −0.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 26 777.04 ₸, profit −90.19 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 30 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

24 463.39 ₸

at 2 718.15

Steam

×1

USP-S | Jawbreaker

Battle-Scarred

any lot

1 584.13 ₸

at 1 584.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 047.52 ₸ +639.33 (+2.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

30 765.29 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

34 267.97 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Inheritance

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.797345

15 299.01 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

13 199.22 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 378.17 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −214.40 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3067841 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 671.71₸ · invest 26 278.97₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3067787 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 664.54₸ · invest 26 289.35₸
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) instead of USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3068385 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 652.63₸ · invest 25 936.25₸
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) instead of USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477777 instead of 0.999999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build