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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +0.79$

Invest 59.17$

Average return 59.96$

ROI +1.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 142.38 $, profit at most −82.42 $

float premium: at least 82 $

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×6

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5001

36.05 $

at 6.01

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1828

19.55 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1754

3.56 $

at 3.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.17 $ +0.79 (+1.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4944

36.05 $

at 6.01

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

13.03 $

at 6.52

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

7.13 $

at 3.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.22 $ +0.51 (+0.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4819

36.05 $

at 6.01

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

6.52 $

at 6.52

Steam

×3

P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1737

10.69 $

at 3.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.26 $ +0.23 (+0.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

70.59 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

74.75 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

32.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Printstream

Field-Tested

float up to 0.322999

38.64 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3064260 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.75$ · invest 59.32$
AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Visions (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.492862 instead of 0.500111

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build