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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +10.88₴

Invest 68.34₴

Average return 79.21₴

ROI +15.9%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 164.27 ₴, profit at most −85.05 ₴

float premium: at least 88 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

20.24 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

38.76 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

9.34 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.34 ₴ +10.88 (+15.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

40.48 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

33.91 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

9.34 ₴

at 9.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.73 ₴ +9.41 (+11.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089947

98.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126084

86.25 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157803

37.85 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64.54 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110462

88.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094682

173.21 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157803

82.99 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082057

640.66 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078901

194.98 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.220479

83.94 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.43 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3070763 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 11.19₴ · invest 65.57₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 3071010 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 10.94₴ · invest 56.00₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 3070735 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 10.48₴ · invest 56.49₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 3059204 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 10.19₴ · invest 57.09₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161701 instead of 0.166007; StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.075567

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build