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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.35₴

Invest 68.32₴

Average return 75.68₴

ROI +10.8%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 160.36 ₴, profit at most −84.68 ₴

float premium: at least 81 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.11 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

20.24 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

30.52 ₴

at 4.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.57 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.32 ₴ +7.35 (+10.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

121.43 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

8.72 ₴

at 4.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.57 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.72 ₴ +10.30 (+7.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

101.20 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

13.08 ₴

at 4.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.57 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.84 ₴ +9.71 (+7.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

80.96 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

17.44 ₴

at 4.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.57 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.96 ₴ +9.12 (+7.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

60.72 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

21.80 ₴

at 4.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.57 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.08 ₴ +8.53 (+8.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

69.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64.87 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83.97 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

58.82 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

62.80 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

173.21 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

194.61 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

640.66 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

194.98 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

83.94 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3071266 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 7.88₴ · invest 57.32₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build