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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +60.78₴

Invest 361.92₴

Average return 422.70₴

ROI +16.8%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 838.74 ₴, profit at most −416.04 ₴

float premium: at least 470 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +102.51 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

198.03 ₴

at 49.51

Steam

×3

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

66.39 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

97.50 ₴

at 32.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 361.92 ₴ +60.78 (+16.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

148.52 ₴

at 49.51

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

44.26 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

163.45 ₴

at 32.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 356.24 ₴ +41.90 (+11.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

247.54 ₴

at 49.51

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

88.52 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

32.50 ₴

at 32.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 368.56 ₴ +78.70 (+21.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

99.02 ₴

at 49.51

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

22.13 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×7

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

228.84 ₴

at 32.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 349.98 ₴ +23.60 (+6.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 53%

about break-even

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076999

405.94 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

435.55 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

277.87 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

416.98 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.031999

1 164.75 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

384.98 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +43.48 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build