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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5 180.23₸

Invest at least 10 148.78₸

Average return 4 968.61₸

ROI −51.0%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 10 148.78 ₸, profit at most −5 180.23 ₸

float premium: at least 5 782 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 100.15 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 513.56 ₸

at 378.39

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

2 053.36 ₸

at 410.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

693.25 ₸

at 693.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 260.17 ₸ +708.44 (+16.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

332.72 ₸

at 332.72

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 891.95 ₸

at 378.39

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 232.02 ₸

at 410.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

693.25 ₸

at 693.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 149.94 ₸ +335.02 (+8.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

665.45 ₸

at 332.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

378.39 ₸

at 378.39

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2 053.36 ₸

at 410.67

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 386.50 ₸

at 693.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 483.70 ₸ +726.73 (+16.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

332.72 ₸

at 332.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

653.81 ₸

at 653.81

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

2 874.71 ₸

at 410.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

693.25 ₸

at 693.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 554.49 ₸ +897.77 (+19.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 030.78 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2 823.31 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

4 551.93 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 899.20 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

3 007.01 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 950.78 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.040444

11 198.18 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

3 228.85 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179666

841.45 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −219.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +597.71 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build