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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.54$

Invest 6.85$

Average return 7.39$

ROI +7.9%

Chance of profit 21%

With float: invest at least 16.22 $, profit at most −8.83 $

float premium: at least 9 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.81 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1.35 $

at 0.45

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

4.18 $

at 0.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.85 $ +0.54 (+7.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5.02 $

at 0.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

1.10 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.98 $ +0.22 (+3.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.74 $

at 0.74

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4.18 $

at 0.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

1.66 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.99 $ +0.02 (+0.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 21%
Losing outcome 79%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.65 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

4.31 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

24.75 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

7.14 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

1.86 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

10.78 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

6.24 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072333

4.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

5.73 $ 5.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1.35 → 3.04 $

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 4.18 → 10.33 $

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.41 → 0.89 $

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.91 → 1.96 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.116666, 0.060666, 0.058333, 0.199499, 0.104999, 0.116666, 0.072333, 0.104999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.47 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build