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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +32.96₴

Invest 730.33₴

Average return 763.29₴

ROI +4.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 716.88 ₴, profit at most −953.58 ₴

float premium: at least 988 ₴

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

84.06 ₴

at 42.03

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

346.55 ₴

at 49.51

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3856

299.72 ₴

at 299.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 730.33 ₴ +32.96 (+4.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

416.98 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 164.75 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

384.98 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

3 378.49 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

4 377.59 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Afterimage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076999

877.29 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −95.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build