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The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −254.55₽

Invest at least 454.36₽

Average return 199.81₽

ROI −56.0%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 454.36 ₽, profit at most −254.55 ₽

float premium: at least 265 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +124.35 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0810

116.55 ₽

at 12.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

68.44 ₽

at 68.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.99 ₽ +14.82 (+8.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.041975

171.43 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058839

219.60 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

81.16 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278.94 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

131.75 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

748.14 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

669.04 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.44 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.27 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3059192 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 15.96₽ · invest 158.44₽
SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3065677 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 15.19₽ · invest 142.22₽
outcome at usual price

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074115 instead of 0.081016

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build