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The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +2.89$

Invest 10.08$

Average return 12.97$

ROI +28.6%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 22.61 $, profit at most −9.64 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.38 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.56 $

at 0.78

Steam

×2

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2.02 $

at 1.01

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2.17 $

at 0.72

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

4.32 $

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.08 $ +2.89 (+28.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.78 $

at 0.78

Steam

×2

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2.02 $

at 1.01

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2.90 $

at 0.72

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

4.32 $

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.02 $ +2.58 (+25.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.01 $

at 1.01

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.62 $

at 0.72

Steam

×3

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

4.32 $

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.95 $ +2.28 (+22.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.78 $

at 0.78

Steam

×5

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.60 $

at 0.72

Steam

×4

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

5.76 $

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.14 $ +1.72 (+16.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.35 $

at 0.78

Steam

×5

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

5.06 $

at 1.01

Steam

×2

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

2.88 $

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.29 $ +4.16 (+40.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

15.57 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.65 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.44 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.64 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.19 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.57 $ 13.33%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1.56 → 3.46 $

Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 2.02 → 4.47 $

SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 2.17 → 4.91 $

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 4.32 → 9.77 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.053899, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build