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The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −70.65$

Invest at least 190.45$

Average return 119.80$

ROI −37.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 190.45 $, profit at most −70.65 $

float premium: at least 105 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

58.71 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

16.69 $

at 16.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.40 $ +44.41 (+58.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

45.66 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

AWP | Fever Dream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

14.60 $

at 14.60

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

33.37 $

at 16.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.63 $ +32.07 (+34.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

14.83 $

at 4.94

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

13.05 $

at 6.52

Steam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

83.43 $

at 16.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.31 $ +20.30 (+18.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

4.94 $

at 4.94

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

6.52 $

at 6.52

Steam

×3

AWP | Fever Dream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

43.79 $

at 14.60

Steam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

83.43 $

at 16.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.69 $ +1.77 (+1.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

4.94 $

at 4.94

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

32.62 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

AWP | Fever Dream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

14.60 $

at 14.60

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

50.06 $

at 16.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.22 $ +26.44 (+25.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178.42 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90.34 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Bloodsport

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

198.33 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

138.31 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 only The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +39.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3070719 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 43.39$ · invest 71.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076627
Craft 3065708 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 40.21$ · invest 69.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076627

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build