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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −77.33₴

Invest at least 308.40₴

Average return 231.06₴

ROI −25.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 308.40 ₴, profit at most −77.33 ₴

float premium: at least 175 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +183.06 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

61.49 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

44.26 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

24.90 ₴

at 24.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.65 ₴ +100.42 (+76.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

44.26 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

286.78 ₴

at 40.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

69.16 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 400.20 ₴ +180.18 (+45.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

22.13 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

286.78 ₴

at 40.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

138.32 ₴

at 69.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 447.23 ₴ +183.06 (+40.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

35.14 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

88.52 ₴

at 22.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

18.63 ₴

at 18.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

24.90 ₴

at 24.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.19 ₴ +113.78 (+68.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

160.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.16 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

304.62 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

141.71 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

221.84 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 399.70 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

686.55 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

454.10 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

588.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.55 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +96.56 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3071493 · The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 103.50₴ · invest 149.84₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build