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The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +43.52$

Invest 22.63$

Average return 66.15$

ROI +192.3%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 55.90 $, profit at most +10.26 $

float premium: at least 32 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

6.28 $

at 1.57

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

16.35 $

at 2.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.63 $ +43.52 (+192.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

4.97 $

at 0.83

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

3.14 $

at 1.57

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

5.45 $

at 2.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.56 $ +14.17 (+104.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

4.71 $

at 1.57

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

16.35 $

at 2.73

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

11.72 $

at 11.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.78 $ +42.98 (+131.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3.14 $

at 1.57

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

16.35 $

at 2.73

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

23.44 $

at 11.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.93 $ +42.44 (+98.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1.57 $

at 1.57

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

16.35 $

at 2.73

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

35.15 $

at 11.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.08 $ +41.90 (+78.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173.26 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67.27 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

11.41 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.051099

11.80 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

6.17 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3058832 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 51.00$ · invest 28.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163316 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3073736 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 47.70$ · invest 25.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163719 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3084637 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 47.65$ · invest 24.59$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164602 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3074401 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 46.09$ · invest 29.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3072975 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 45.64$ · invest 27.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3065130 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 45.46$ · invest 22.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164602 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3084470 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 45.31$ · invest 23.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165205 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3084778 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 45.27$ · invest 26.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163812 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3066551 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 44.33$ · invest 24.41$
sells slowly

Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3084927 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 43.54$ · invest 34.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165358 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3082110 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 43.09$ · invest 23.06$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163316 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3084638 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 42.68$ · invest 23.92$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164629 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3057371 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 41.32$ · invest 32.44$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165308 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3059953 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 41.19$ · invest 29.65$
sells slowly

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3083515 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.06$ · invest 34.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165205 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3064091 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.52$ · invest 37.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.165880
Craft 3063319 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.12$ · invest 30.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.165880

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build