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The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +146.91$

Invest 166.14$

Average return 313.05$

ROI +88.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 400.57 $, profit at most −87.52 $

float premium: at least 233 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +291.89 $ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −54.92 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

86.55 $

at 12.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

79.59 $

at 26.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.14 $ +146.91 (+88.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

12.36 $

at 12.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

79.59 $

at 26.53

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

326.94 $

at 54.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 418.89 $ +291.89 (+69.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

24.73 $

at 12.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

79.59 $

at 26.53

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

272.45 $

at 54.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 376.76 $ +267.73 (+71.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −60 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

111.27 $

at 12.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1743

15.70 $

at 15.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.97 $ +53.50 (+42.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

37.09 $

at 12.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

79.59 $

at 26.53

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

217.96 $

at 54.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 334.64 $ +243.56 (+72.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

84.20 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

178.43 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 372.99 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

239.90 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +130.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +144.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3059974 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 172.51$ · invest 193.78$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075334 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3082838 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 159.60$ · invest 179.31$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078314 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3078684 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 158.70$ · invest 209.68$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078045 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3065157 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 139.11$ · invest 166.45$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077678 instead of 0.076405

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build