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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +17 956.97₸

Invest 10 203.46₸

Average return 28 160.43₸

ROI +176.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 26 659.38 ₸, profit at most +1 501.05 ₸

float premium: at least 16 400 ₸

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

373.86 ₸

at 373.86

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

9 829.60 ₸

at 1 092.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 203.46 ₸ +17 956.97 (+176.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

4 691.22 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

7 192.62 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 774.33 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

4 086.74 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

3 654.65 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 548.47 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 877.88 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 58 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3085129 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18 920.83₸ · invest 11 195.13₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006344 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3085074 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 18 610.48₸ · invest 10 518.48₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004494 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3053050 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 432.43₸ · invest 11 639.88₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005364 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3084271 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 178.24₸ · invest 10 676.24₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004339 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3046036 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 172.21₸ · invest 10 115.68₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3083866 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 120.20₸ · invest 10 144.63₸
sells slowly

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3046849 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 078.38₸ · invest 10 828.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3084918 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 065.49₸ · invest 10 141.35₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3083509 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 057.94₸ · invest 10 072.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3063309 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 047.63₸ · invest 10 060.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3081248 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 047.15₸ · invest 10 089.35₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005345 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3084461 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 035.05₸ · invest 10 033.90₸
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3077324 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 019.05₸ · invest 10 238.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3080728 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 012.17₸ · invest 10 084.43₸
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3061939 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 001.41₸ · invest 9 993.10₸
sells slowly

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004492 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3082454 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 000.88₸ · invest 10 162.54₸
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3056011 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 995.70₸ · invest 10 243.39₸
sells slowly

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3059943 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 993.85₸ · invest 10 058.43₸
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007783 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3057359 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 991.70₸ · invest 10 008.94₸
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3082100 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 990.69₸ · invest 10 347.40₸
sells slowly

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007668 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3084032 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 985.26₸ · invest 10 261.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3074392 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 980.23₸ · invest 10 040.29₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005590 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3064084 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 979.72₸ · invest 10 238.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3070183 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 976.68₸ · invest 10 250.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3081664 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 969.70₸ · invest 10 026.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3078640 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 968.40₸ · invest 9 949.23₸
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007887 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3071944 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 953.15₸ · invest 9 959.67₸
sells slowly

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3066540 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 947.84₸ · invest 9 981.02₸
outcome at usual price sells slowly

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005968 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3079713 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 946.32₸ · invest 10 769.54₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3052006 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 939.15₸ · invest 10 178.93₸
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007825 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3084627 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 926.62₸ · invest 10 003.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3065119 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 925.30₸ · invest 9 991.73₸
sells slowly

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007668 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3085103 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 17 924.75₸ · invest 10 537.11₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003780 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3082803 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 911.78₸ · invest 10 002.38₸
sells slowly

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3084769 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 905.38₸ · invest 10 074.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006269 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3083163 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 904.78₸ · invest 9 993.59₸
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007976 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3058824 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 888.34₸ · invest 10 086.07₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3075739 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 854.10₸ · invest 11 741.49₸
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3067556 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 853.25₸ · invest 10 174.02₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3056642 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 847.58₸ · invest 10 460.52₸
sells slowly

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006040 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3072964 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 843.92₸ · invest 10 233.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007892 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3075032 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 833.93₸ · invest 10 193.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3071076 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 827.74₸ · invest 10 102.73₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3078890 · The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 819.60₸ · invest 10 034.23₸
sells slowly

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3084975 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 803.32₸ · invest 10 755.61₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3080382 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 787.15₸ · invest 10 997.22₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3054527 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 776.68₸ · invest 10 694.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3078101 · The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 769.88₸ · invest 10 122.72₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3085091 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 17 763.01₸ · invest 10 804.61₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3077836 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 719.88₸ · invest 10 549.29₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005824 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3085068 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 17 705.20₸ · invest 10 139.00₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3076257 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 691.16₸ · invest 10 818.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3069047 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 480.11₸ · invest 10 424.96₸
sells slowly

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3053826 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 470.57₸ · invest 11 581.11₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3051079 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 469.53₸ · invest 12 536.83₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3085122 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 17 432.15₸ · invest 11 083.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3055183 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 425.97₸ · invest 12 227.76₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005705 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3049527 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 304.96₸ · invest 11 327.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build