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The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5 140.73₸

Invest 7 764.88₸

Average return 12 905.61₸

ROI +66.2%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 19 141.90 ₸, profit at most −6 236.30 ₸

float premium: at least 11 487 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Aloha

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

1 857.26 ₸

at 1 857.26

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

396.58 ₸

at 396.58

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

5 511.04 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 764.88 ₸ +5 140.73 (+66.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAC-10 | Aloha

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

3 714.52 ₸

at 1 857.26

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4 822.16 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

776.50 ₸

at 776.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 313.18 ₸ +3 821.26 (+41.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAC-10 | Aloha

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

3 714.52 ₸

at 1 857.26

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Cut Out

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

2 106.95 ₸

at 2 106.95

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2 066.64 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3 105.99 ₸

at 776.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 994.10 ₸ +2 369.21 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 047 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Tec-9 | Cut Out

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

8 427.81 ₸

at 2 106.95

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

2 755.52 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 553.00 ₸

at 776.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 736.32 ₸ +855.81 (+6.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 51%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 4%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

3 795.37 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 726.49 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 116.02 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

675.22 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Orbit Mk01

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

40 835.03 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Woodsman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 038.01 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Red Rock

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

9 173.99 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Death Grip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

8 685.42 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

float up to 0.044624

10 317.41 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 461.20 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 959.30 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3077848 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 655.30₸ · invest 6 535.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074110
Craft 3079725 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 619.09₸ · invest 6 307.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.074110
Craft 3085165 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 5 611.48₸ · invest 6 615.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.074110
Craft 3053848 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 511.54₸ · invest 6 409.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074110
Craft 3080394 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 473.44₸ · invest 6 365.54₸
rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164540 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.074110
Craft 3084283 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 425.45₸ · invest 6 228.10₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166424 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075712 instead of 0.074110
Craft 3085201 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 5 351.84₸ · invest 6 829.85₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165604 instead of 0.161818; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075427 instead of 0.074110

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build