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The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.28$

Invest 9.34$

Average return 13.62$

ROI +45.9%

Chance of profit 74%

With float: invest at least 22.57 $, profit at most −8.95 $

float premium: at least 13 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.67 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

2.36 $

at 0.79

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6.18 $

at 1.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.80 $

at 0.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.34 $ +4.28 (+45.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

7.21 $

at 1.03

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

1.59 $

at 0.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.59 $ +4.47 (+46.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.06 $

at 1.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1.26 $

at 1.26

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

0.80 $

at 0.80

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.23 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.36 $ +2.91 (+21.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.03 $

at 1.03

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3.79 $

at 1.26

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

1.59 $

at 0.80

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

6.16 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.57 $ +3.25 (+25.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 51%
Losing outcome 24%
About break-even 24%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

5.41 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.07 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

15.95 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

11.22 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

34.24 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

12.36 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34.61 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

9.66 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

10.24 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 only The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.26 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3079393 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 4.35$ · invest 9.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build