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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +13.60$

Invest 19.84$

Average return 33.44$

ROI +68.6%

Chance of profit 73%

With float: invest at least 46.73 $, profit at most −13.28 $

float premium: at least 26 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +19.69 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.42 $

at 1.14

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

10.42 $

at 2.08

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

6.00 $

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.84 $ +13.60 (+68.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

4.55 $

at 1.14

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

10.42 $

at 2.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

3.00 $

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.98 $ +10.09 (+56.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.25 $

at 2.08

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

12.55 $

at 4.18

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

25.24 $

at 6.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.04 $ +16.31 (+37.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

10.42 $

at 2.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

3.00 $

at 3.00

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

16.73 $

at 4.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.15 $ +19.43 (+64.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

38.64 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

13.80 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.81 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

71.01 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

106.64 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

86.25 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.75 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build