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The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +188.46₴

Invest 227.80₴

Average return 416.25₴

ROI +82.7%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 512.57 ₴, profit at most −96.31 ₴

float premium: at least 294 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +566.01 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

24.39 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

68.95 ₴

at 17.24

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

79.13 ₴

at 39.56

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

55.33 ₴

at 55.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 227.80 ₴ +188.46 (+82.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

65.04 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

17.24 ₴

at 17.24

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

39.56 ₴

at 39.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.84 ₴ +52.02 (+42.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

17.24 ₴

at 17.24

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

79.13 ₴

at 39.56

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

481.06 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 577.42 ₴ +566.01 (+98.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

86.18 ₴

at 17.24

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

118.69 ₴

at 39.56

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

137.44 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 342.31 ₴ +316.33 (+92.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

40.65 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

51.71 ₴

at 17.24

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

79.13 ₴

at 39.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.49 ₴ +123.57 (+72.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

54.49 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.056874

62.05 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

65.62 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

46.14 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

74.53 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

378.62 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 062.85 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 308.45 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

67.36 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 24.39 → 55.12 ₴

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 68.95 → 163.06 ₴

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 79.13 → 174.87 ₴

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 55.33 → 119.52 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.087499, 0.056874, 0.061249, 0.087499, 0.061249, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +103.63 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +150.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build