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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.64$

Invest at least 9.86$

Average return 7.22$

ROI −26.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 9.86 $, profit at most −2.64 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.33 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

3.04 $

at 0.38

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.90 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.94 $ +3.28 (+83.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

3.04 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.95 $

at 0.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.44 $ +3.33 (+75.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

0.25 $

at 0.25

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.90 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.37 $

at 0.37

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1.35 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.86 $ +2.24 (+58.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.52 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2.30 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

5.49 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.00 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

7.82 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075444

1.93 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

0.89 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

1.58 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.066111

3.68 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3083308 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.31$ · invest 4.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3083913 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.16$ · invest 4.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; AK-47 | Slate: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAC-10 | Button Masher: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075761; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005468 instead of 0.005041
Craft 3059784 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.88$ · invest 4.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076739 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3074246 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.74$ · invest 4.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3081517 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.72$ · invest 3.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076666 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3080607 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.71$ · invest 4.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 3082318 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.51$ · invest 4.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3081114 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.46$ · invest 4.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074049 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3083943 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.44$ · invest 3.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3064944 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.43$ · invest 3.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076470 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3083944 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.33$ · invest 3.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 3076575 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.32$ · invest 4.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074638 instead of 0.075761
Craft 3074247 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.25$ · invest 4.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build