to all crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5.31$

Invest at least 21.08$

Average return 15.77$

ROI −25.2%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 21.08 $, profit at most −5.31 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.29 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.52 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.88 $

at 0.88

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

6.09 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.04 $ +6.73 (+74.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

0.38 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

0.72 $

at 0.72

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

12.18 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.28 $ +12.29 (+92.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1.52 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.88 $

at 0.88

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

7.61 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.01 $ +8.21 (+82.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.04 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.52 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.11 $ +0.85 (+16.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

5.36 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.30 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.054249

5.49 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

2.99 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

8.39 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90.03 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

28.99 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.49 $ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 1.52 → 3.59 $

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.55 → 1.19 $

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.88 → 1.89 $

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 6.09 → 14.41 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.078749, 0.087499, 0.054249, 0.078749, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3080758 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.15$ · invest 8.49$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3083523 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.67$ · invest 7.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3080759 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.57$ · invest 8.49$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3064100 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.52$ · invest 11.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164908 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3080757 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.29$ · invest 7.53$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3046053 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.26$ · invest 8.59$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179489 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.091827 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3084479 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.26$ · invest 8.49$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3083524 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.24$ · invest 8.36$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3084787 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.06$ · invest 8.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162899 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3084786 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.05$ · invest 9.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162568 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3081265 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.97$ · invest 9.19$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074027 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3082478 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.93$ · invest 9.11$
rare inputs

P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161732 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074080 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3059960 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.77$ · invest 7.79$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164456 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075028 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3058839 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.75$ · invest 8.51$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163515 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074700 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3059961 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.68$ · invest 7.15$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3082123 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.53$ · invest 9.33$
rare inputs

P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162855 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3081678 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.50$ · invest 7.32$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164337 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074986 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3081266 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.47$ · invest 9.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163624 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3074408 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.47$ · invest 7.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074069
Craft 3084644 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.21$ · invest 6.41$
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074069

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build