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The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.17$

Invest at least 16.03$

Average return 12.87$

ROI −19.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 16.03 $, profit at most −3.17 $

float premium: at least 10 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.63 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

2.71 $

at 0.45

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

2.63 $

at 0.88

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.52 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.86 $ +6.01 (+87.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.37 $

at 0.37

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1.35 $

at 0.45

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

1.75 $

at 0.88

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

6.09 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.57 $ +8.35 (+87.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

0.90 $

at 0.45

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1.75 $

at 0.88

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.14 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.79 $ +11.18 (+94.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 12%

about break-even

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

7.82 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079882

1.93 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

0.89 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

1.58 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.68 $ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.038941

8.39 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.065882

90.03 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

28.99 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

1.49 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.85 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3078660 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.18$ · invest 5.62$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161610 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074038 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3071962 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.10$ · invest 5.77$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163330 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074636 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3081264 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.05$ · invest 8.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3065139 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.05$ · invest 6.17$
rare inputs

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162630 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074393 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3074409 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 7.03$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161638 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074048 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3072989 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.98$ · invest 7.64$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163615 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074735 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3065138 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.95$ · invest 6.82$
rare inputs

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164012 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074873 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3066563 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.82$ · invest 6.78$
outcome at usual price rare inputs

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear), Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162619 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084478 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.80$ · invest 6.78$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; P250 | Cyber Shell: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003752 instead of 0.004146; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3072990 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.74$ · invest 7.64$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163804 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074801 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084937 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.65$ · invest 7.97$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161538 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3061953 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.49$ · invest 5.81$
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161719 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074076 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3068654 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.11$ · invest 4.23$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New), UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162825 instead of 0.163623
Craft 3066561 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.66$ · invest 5.62$
outcome at usual price rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161830 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074115 instead of 0.074738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build