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The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +816.54₽

Invest 897.68₽

Average return 1 714.22₽

ROI +91.0%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 2 034.18 ₽, profit at most −319.95 ₽

float premium: at least 1 045 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 109.85 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

24.21 ₽

at 24.21

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

194.80 ₽

at 48.70

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

252.22 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

426.45 ₽

at 142.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 897.68 ₽ +816.54 (+91.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

48.42 ₽

at 24.21

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

882.77 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

142.15 ₽

at 142.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 073.34 ₽ +1 045.85 (+97.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

146.10 ₽

at 48.70

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

314.25 ₽

at 62.85

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

284.30 ₽

at 142.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 744.65 ₽ +564.61 (+75.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

858.80 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 316.72 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

1 410.00 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

694.80 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7 455.61 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 401.09 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438.67 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 24.21 → 52.29 ₽

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 194.80 → 460.70 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 252.22 → 557.41 ₽

G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 426.45 → 963.78 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.125799, 0.036099, 0.055999, 0.047599, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +490.89 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +672.84 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build