The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −71 526.74₸

Invest 507 693.19₸

Average return 436 166.45₸

ROI −14.1%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 1 254 002.15 ₸, profit at most −817 835.70 ₸

float premium: at least 722 053 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −417 194.32 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×5

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

507 693.19 ₸

at 101 538.64

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 507 693.19 ₸ −71 526.74 (−14.1%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 15%
Above the Steam cap 15%

Order

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

844 241.84 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

542 839.37 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

454 600.79 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

581 288.86 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

589 984.93 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

316 733.17 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 858.62 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

622 392.48 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384 511.19 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

425 224.18 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

771 669.30 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → a knife or gloves

Variant 2 Restricted → Classified

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −89 309.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −72 513.71 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build