The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −21 322.98₴

Invest at least 63 202.19₴

Average return 41 879.22₴

ROI −33.7%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 63 202.19 ₴, profit at most −21 322.98 ₴

float premium: at least 34 707 ₴

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −15 466.80 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

17 472.57 ₴

at 4 368.14

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

10 129.43 ₴

at 10 129.43

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 602.00 ₴ +14 277.22 (+51.7%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 932 ₴

1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

13 104.43 ₴

at 4 368.14

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

20 258.85 ₴

at 10 129.43

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 33 363.28 ₴ +8 924.04 (+26.8%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 37%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 959.33 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 027.62 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 128.43 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 933.72 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 890.96 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 860.01 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 808.96 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 471.53 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 626.58 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 834.95 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 143.44 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 500.16 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 566.28 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 078.51 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 106.89 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 904.06 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 037.37 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

263 952.16 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 255.48 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 155.78 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 142.25 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 149.14 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 887.36 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 356.67 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

84 221.00 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

54 153.29 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

45 350.67 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

57 988.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

58 856.50 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 597.09 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 388.42 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 089.46 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 358.58 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 420.08 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

76 981.21 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 184.54 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 913.60 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3087230 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 302.42₴ · invest 23 762.70₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087231 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 14 302.42₴ · invest 23 762.70₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3085953 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 277.22₴ · invest 27 602.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3087226 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 275.31₴ · invest 21 714.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011477 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087227 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 14 275.31₴ · invest 21 714.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011477 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087152 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 179.08₴ · invest 21 632.80₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087153 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 179.08₴ · invest 21 632.80₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087012 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 14 080.96₴ · invest 26 498.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012385 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087014 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 080.96₴ · invest 26 498.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012385 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086816 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13 972.45₴ · invest 24 263.02₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086817 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 972.45₴ · invest 24 263.02₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086984 · The Revolution Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 13 911.69₴ · invest 20 714.32₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086985 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 911.69₴ · invest 20 714.32₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086248 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 13 758.82₴ · invest 23 700.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086249 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 758.82₴ · invest 23 700.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3085874 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 13 629.18₴ · invest 24 435.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.005233 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3085875 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 629.18₴ · invest 24 435.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.005233 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3085792 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 13 474.90₴ · invest 24 590.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012251 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3085793 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 474.90₴ · invest 24 590.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012251 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086686 · The Revolution Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 13 462.80₴ · invest 21 549.51₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086687 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 462.80₴ · invest 21 549.51₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087212 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 328.99₴ · invest 22 395.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087213 · The Revolution Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 13 328.99₴ · invest 22 395.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086596 · The Revolution Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13 160.44₴ · invest 22 841.81₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086597 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 160.44₴ · invest 22 841.81₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086786 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 13 075.55₴ · invest 25 159.92₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3086787 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 075.55₴ · invest 25 159.92₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087220 · The Spectrum Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 935.91₴ · invest 23 714.24₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3087221 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 12 935.91₴ · invest 23 714.24₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

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How to build